A new era is beginning in Argentina, now that the Kirchner dynasty was finally voted out of office in November. President Mauricio Macri has vowed extensive change for the country, in areas ranging from foreign policy to the domestic economy, advocating an increased role for the private sector at the expense of a reduced role for the government. Argentine assets…
Oil prices have been under pressure, and it’s all about supply. The world is experiencing a glut of oil production, with no likely slowdown until the end of 2016. The market rout looks to continue well into the first quarter of next year, with price per barrel heading into the $20s, as oil producers keep pumping and large regions of…
Two weeks ago I traveled to South Africa, in order to create a two-year economic and investment roadmap. After seven days of meetings, I returned with a bearish view for the economy both cyclically and structurally. Unlike previous visits over the past decade, I could find very few glimmers of hope. Gloom is hard to trade on, as the timeframe…
Driving into the gas station this morning, I was thrilled to see I could fill up my car with top-grade gasoline for under $3.00 a gallon (and yes, that is much higher than the U.S. average since I have the fortune to pay Connecticut taxes). With today's news from OPEC, it looks like I can enjoy "cheap" gas for months…
A few years ago I hurt my elbow, and after six weeks of pain, I finally went to the doctor. He gave me a few choices. First, he suggested I try physical therapy, some anti-inflammatory medicine, and lots of ice. With lots of work and attention, I would probably have pain for another 3-4 weeks and then slowly it would…
Big Move in China's Yuan Today! Value of the Chinese currency, the yuan, against the US dollar. Source: Bloomberg Global markets woke excited today after China’s central bank surprised the world by “forcing” a 1.9% weakening of its currency. Most currencies in the world move in a relatively free fashion, i.e. without significant intervention by a country’s central bank. A 2% one-day…
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