A new era is beginning in Argentina, now that the Kirchner dynasty was finally voted out of office in November. President Mauricio Macri has vowed extensive change for the country, in areas ranging from foreign policy to the domestic economy, advocating an increased role for the private sector at the expense of a reduced role for the government. Argentine assets…
Oil prices have been under pressure, and it’s all about supply. The world is experiencing a glut of oil production, with no likely slowdown until the end of 2016. The market rout looks to continue well into the first quarter of next year, with price per barrel heading into the $20s, as oil producers keep pumping and large regions of…
Two weeks ago I traveled to South Africa, in order to create a two-year economic and investment roadmap. After seven days of meetings, I returned with a bearish view for the economy both cyclically and structurally. Unlike previous visits over the past decade, I could find very few glimmers of hope. Gloom is hard to trade on, as the timeframe…